A new Tangere survey conducted from March 16 to 18, 2026 shows Leni Robredo pulling away from Rodante Marcoleta in a direct presidential matchup if Vice President Sara Duterte is removed from the race, posting a clear double-digit lead.
The poll surveyed 1,500 respondents with a margin of error of ±2.77 percent at a 95 percent confidence level. In the one-on-one test, Robredo secured 40 percent of voter preference, while Marcoleta trailed at 27 percent. The 13-point gap exceeds the margin of error and points to a decisive advantage.
Robredo consolidates support in a simplified race, emerging as the clear focal point with a broader coalition in a direct contest. Marcoleta retains a base, but the gap underscores the difficulty of closing in, leaving Robredo with a statistically significant lead.
A substantial 33 percent of respondents remain undecided, reflecting a strong and unsettled response among voters under the hypothetical presented. The data shows that the possible removal of Duterte triggers firm reactions across the electorate. Some voters shift toward a candidate she would endorse, while others respond with resistance or disengagement, as frustration and uncertainty shape how preferences move.
The survey also shows a separate head-to-head between Bong Go and Robredo ending in a statistical tie, pointing to a more competitive dynamic under a different alignment. Tangere clarified that no data yet exists for Davao City Mayor Sebastian Duterte if he were to run in place of his sister, Vice President Sara Duterte.
The findings reflect voter sentiment during the survey period and do not project final election outcomes.
