Naga City Mayor Leni Robredo and Sen. Raffy Tulfo topped a hypothetical 2028 presidential and vice presidential tandem matchup against Davao City Mayor Sebastian “Baste” Duterte and Sen. Robin Padilla, based on an OCTA Research survey released on Nov. 10.
Conducted from Sept. 28 to Oct. 4, 2026, the poll found that the Robredo-Tulfo pairing garnered 43% of voter preference nationwide, ahead of the Duterte-Padilla tandem’s 39% by four percentage points.
Another 18% of respondents either chose neither tandem or said they did not know.
OCTA Research surveyed 1,200 Filipino adults nationwide. The survey had a margin of error of ±3 percentage points at a 95% confidence level.
Regional results showed Robredo-Tulfo leading in Balance Luzon with 61% against Duterte-Padilla’s 19%, and in Metro Manila with 49% against 32%.
Duterte-Padilla led in Mindanao with 81% against Robredo-Tulfo’s 4%. The two tandems were closely matched in the Visayas, where Duterte-Padilla received 43% compared with Robredo-Tulfo’s 41%. Among Class D respondents, both tandems registered 41%.
On Nov. 9, Robredo again ruled out a presidential bid in 2028, stressing that her decision to remain outside national politics was already final.
“Matagal nang sarado. Wala nang anything na makapagpapabago ng isip ko,” Robredo said.
Tulfo had also rejected speculation about becoming Robredo’s running mate during a September 16 interview on Bilyonaryo News Channel’s The Spokes.
“Na-monitor ko nga. Pero again, wala po akong balak talaga. Thank you na lang dun sa mga nasurvey at binoto akong maging VP ni Mayor Leni. Thank you pero wala, wala akong balak,” Tulfo said.
Davao City Mayor Sebastian “Baste” Duterte has yet to announce any plans to run for president in 2028. Sen. Robin Padilla also dismissed the possibility of running for an elected position in 2028 in a Sept. 18 statement, citing his young children and preference for a more peaceful life.
